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INF als Testfall für die Zukunft

INF Testfall

Der jetzt einseitig von den USA gebrochene Vertrag über nukleare Mittelstreckenwaffen wurde 1987 unterschrieben und 1988 in Kraft gesetzt. So schlecht kann die Arbeit der Beteiligten nicht gewesen sein, mehr als 30 Jahre Laufzeit für einen derart technik-gesteuerten Vertrag sind viel. In den letzten 30 Jahren hat sich die Welt jedoch radikal verändert, mehrere neue Kräfte haben die Bühne betreten, allen voran China, jedoch auch Indien und Pakistan. Und beide Seiten, Russland und die USA, haben neue Waffensysteme und Techniken entwickelt, über die zu sprechen wäre – ein höchst lohnender Einsatz von Zeit und Kraft.

Unter diesen Umständen ist es eigentlich gar nicht nötig, einen derart bewährten Vertrag gleich in die Mülltonne zu werfen – das halbe Jahr „Karenzzeit“, das die USA ab de...

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Afghanistan: 45 Jahre Unheil durch US-Politik

afghanistan-unheil

Für Washington war alles klar, 1974. Pakistan bekam das Recht, eine eigene Atombombe zu entwickeln und die Technologie weltweit in islamischen Ländern zu vermarkten – und musste dafür Trainingslager für Mudschaheddin einrichten, die durch Terrorangriffe in Afghanistan den wachsenden Einfluss aus Moskau unterstützter Kommunisten eindämmen sollten. Gulbuddin Hekmatjar, Gründer und Chef der Islampartei (Hezb-i Islami) Afghanistans, jetzt erneut ein Bewerber um die Präsidentschaft, gehörte damals zu den ersten Absolventen solcher Trainingseinrichtungen – diesem Autor* zeigten Absolventen in den 80er Jahren ihre pakistanischen Ausweise. Außerdem erhielt Pakistan milliardenschwere Finanzunterstützung, etwa 78 Milliarden US$ (Währungswert 2016) seit der Unabhängigkeit allein von den U...

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Venezuela – Turning Point for US Hegemonism?

Venezuela-US

The revolutionary life achievement of president Maduro’s overarching predecessor Chávez nearly destroyed, forces gather to withstand Washington’s designs.

South American history changed course on February 15, 1898. In the evening of that day, a heavy explosion rocked the armored cruiser USS „Maine“, anchored in Havana harbor, which sank soon after, killing 266 US soldiers on board. The incident marks the first big-size US-made international false flag operation. From then on, Washington successfully widened its power space over South America – and through and after WW2 expanded globally. The situation in Latin America deteriorated to such an extent, that single-handed whistleblowers like the famous ex-CIA agent Philip Agee became global leaders of multi-pronged efforts to expose CIA agent...

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G20 Summit: Is the US Losing its Global Leadership?

G20 US leadership

Fact is, it’s the other way round: Global leadership has lost he US – and for good.

The Buenos Aires G20 summit cemented, what really is US president Trump’s political strategy: Washington does not even care for a US leadership role – it’s just cutting deals. Trade trouble with China? The intermediate fixing sounds easy and fair: Trump stops tariffs on 200 billion US$ imports from China – and Beijing agrees to buy more US goods, mainly in the sectors agriculture, energy and industry, but without commitment to defined thresholds as yet; and in the aftermath, Trump tweeted, that Chinese tariffs on US cars, recently raised to a whopping 40%, would be reduced; Beijing had lowered other cars‘ tariffs  from 25% to 15%...

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NATO Exercise Threatens Peace

NATO’s „Trident Juncture 2018“ exercise propaganda speaks of defense and security – but choice of locations, weapons and drill goals speak a vastly different language.

50’000 participants, 250 aircraft and 65 vessels from more than 30 nations – boasts Norway’s NATO press department video. The biggest since the cold war „Reforger“ drills. That is not so overwhelming, given the „Vostok-2018“ exercise six weeks earlier, involving 300’000 troups – nearly a third of Russia’s full troop strength, 36’000 vehicles, more than a thousand aircraft and 80 vessels, the biggest since the „Zapad“ drills in 1981...

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Trump’s INF Treaty Game

Trump ugly

The INF treaty covers intermediate range nuclear forces – but Trump’s handling might result in wide range and long term consequences, trading US political interests for short term gains of their arms industry.

Two of the many problems analysts face with US president Trump’s political moves are, that the gap between announcement and factual decision and the life cycle of a decision are not really predictable. This bulk of trouble is overshadowed by the fact, that this US president is used to see any of his moves in the light of two permanent campaigns he is working for: public relations in general and re-election specifically. The mere mentioning of these criteria implicates what everybody can see easily: Trump is simply not the type of person for serious long-term planning, programming and...

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Iran Under US War Threat

Imminent US cabinet reshuffle gives a hint on planning.

This is the special Trump way to fire a minister: Talk bad about him in public, hint he’s “on the way out” – and help raise the level of speculations about potential successors. All of this happens these days to US defense minister James “mad dog” Mattis. In the Mattis case, the US president even went so far as to describe his MoD as a „Democrat“, which, to his constituency three weeks from the midterm elections, may very well sound like „high treason“.

What’s the problem anyway with James Mattis, a very popular marine general? Looking at what the man actually does these days – is awesomely helpful to US interests: He’s seeking better military ties with China, to take that area of government out of the hot exchanges in the...

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Western Media Murder Games

Frenzy about an alleged (fake) Russian murder case – near complete silence about French realities.

French state prosecutors have it, that former French secret service (DGSE) agents planned to kill a Congolese ex-general and opposition leader, Ferdinand Mbaou. In rare dry openness names of the ex-agents are given as: Daniel Forestier and Bruno Susini. French justice has worked swiftly and successfully...

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Macron’s New Security Strategy For Europe

Security Partnership To Include Russia and Turkey – How Credible?

French President Macron issued his idea in two steps – in a visible effort not to overload the public. The first step came on Monday, August 27, in front of the annual conference of French ambassadors; the young leader pushed for a more independent European Union to organize her security objectives including Russia: in a multipolar world. The second and equally big step followed Thursday, August 30, in Helsinki, at the news conference after a work meeting with Finland’s president Niinisto...

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Putin-Merkel Meeting: Stakes And Hopes

It’s good they talk – but how good are the talks, really?

German chancellor Merkel meets with two Russians: foreign affairs minister Lavrov and army head Gerassimov – in Berlin, July 24, 2018. But then, observers ask themselves about the astonishing feat, that Gerassimov is allowed into the EU though he is barred from entering by sanctions dating back to 2014, after Moscow succeeded in saving Crimea from the multi-criminal chaos ruling Kiev-dominated parts of Ukraine.

I. The Lavrov-Gerassimov Meeting

Dry facts are, that Berlin had to ask the EU’s consent prior to the meeting, received it without delay – and the Russian duo went to Israel first, from there to Berlin and subsequently continued for talks with French president Macron in Paris...

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