Syria: Battle For Idlib Has Started

Possible consequences include financial crash and worldwide war.

The astonishing part of the latest Tehran summit including Russian president Putin and his Turkish colleague Erdogan is certainly, that the latter can voice his wish for a peaceful, settlement – and in the last picture still stands very close to Iran’s president Ruhani, who seems to have moved an inch or two away from Putin, off-center, to express some closeness. There is no visible shift in the Russia-Turkey relations. Ankara is regularly sending supply and reinforcement convoys through Syrian territory to strengthen its most distant military outpost, just south of Morek in northern Hama Province, Subdistrict Soran, bordering on the southern part of Idlib Province.

The Turkish rationale for maintaining no less than 12 such outposts on all three distant sides of Idlib Province border, north, east and south is simple: “Only weak countries defend themselves inside their own territory, the strong ones carry the fight to other countries”, is common say in Turkey. Understandable – but not easy to handle: The Russian-Turkish entente is important enough to allow this luxury to much-beleaguered Erdogan and his people. But for Turkey’s increasingly difficult and in fact merely strategic and tactic NATO membership it’s a real pawn. Turkey is the only NATO member to be allowed such posts by tacit Damascus consent as well as that of Russia (12 outposts countering the Turkish) and Iran (up one, now 7).

In the last days and hours, six important developments start changing the face of the conflict:

  1. The US is phasing out is Daesh/IS support and relies on forces under stricter control, less ideologically hardened. The road block to Iranian support convoys for Syria in Deir ez-Zor Province, Hajin, is thus being reshaped. In the last days, just within a US-declared 30-mile zone around their At-Tanf stronghold on the triangle border area of Syria, Jordan and Iraq, pro-USA militias thwarted a suicide bomb attack by IS.
  2. Syria and Russia, however, counter IS quite differently, without creation of new militias: They attack a bigger Daesh pocket stretching over two provinces, Deir ez-Zor and eastern Homs and a smaller one, dangerously further west, in eastern Damascus Province, Subdistrict Suweyda.
  3. Western media aren’t reporting these efforts miles away from Idlib, for an understandable reason: They want to concentrate their propaganda firepower on civilian casualties in Idlib, other locations disturb this effort and distract the people, who are correctly perceived to immediately let their attention slip, if more than two difficult foreign names are being introduced at once. Important signal of this stretched out effort by the Russia-Syria-Iran alliance to their foes: There will be no shifting of Idlib militias to other Daesh/IS areas. This is the one and truly final last battle for control of all of Syria.
  4. As a consequence, Turkey has accepted thousands of refugees from Idlib Province into its recently occupied Afrin area in northern Syria and is ready to take more. 2.7 million refugees have found shelter inside Turkey. The thriving country has its own agenda in the whole border region, working for a kind of territorial negotiation currency. That effort stretches well into Iraq territory, where US and NATO partners are traditionally building up forces and administration with PKK links.
  5. Washington is looking for partners of an intervention and has invited Germany. Whereas the governing Social democrats declined at once, an interesting new coalition of German Bundestag parties, representing an extra-governmental majority, is ready to consider this outright criminal idea: chancellor Merkel’s CDU, the Greens and the Free Democrats (FDP). This sets a precedence for post-war Germany: The war-mongering cartels want to change German politics, to be clear: of their last round of government creation – and an ad-hoc assembled majority may deliver as ordered? The next round in the escalation spin is already done: Russia and Iran have warned the US, UK and France to attack Syria. Russian media have used the term „world war“ and warned of dangers.
  6. Tuesday afternoon, the Russian MoD quoted local sources in Jisr al-Shugur and accused militia to have started movie-filming a fake gas attack. Any reminiscences of similar shows five months ago in Duma are merely coincidental. Interesting: The village, situated some 30 km south-west of Idlib, is a stronghold of the Uyghur-mounted „Islamic Turkestan Party“ (TIP), a special operation by the CIA; the next Turkish stronghold is nearby, close to a small settlement, Ichtebraq, just around five kilometers southwest again. The whole „Uyghur uprising“ is a CIA foster child following a decades-old scenario of global terror management by Langley/Virginia, which started in the 1974 Pakistan-based efforts of training a Hezb-i Islami uprising to push back „communist“ influence in Afghanistan.

Meanwhile, Damascus is playing complicated games, maintaining direct open communication lines to US counterparts, many of the Syrian Majlis (parliament) members make money from their war efforts, whatever they may be. This is normal in difficult times and in special political situations – Syrians are masters in handling them. And since a long time: flexibility in these parts of the world is a question of (political) survival.

Meanwhile, western media is reminiscing of the Lehman Brothers bank crash ten years ago. Analyses of the present situation are outspoken and paint a terrible picture: The global financial bubble has multiplied, manager bonuses are higher than at the time – but the most awkward fact is, that western governments, including Merkel, have admitted in the aftermath of the 2008 crash, that they were not sure at all about the guarantees for financial stability they had issued to the alarmed public at the time. „We took this out of thin air“, that is the basic line, including Merkel. In Europe, Italy is nowadays again at the helm of the crisis, with the Bloomberg writer coining a sweet phrase to paint the banks‘ problems: „doom loop“. Of course, the so-called „financial markets“, just another expression for „financial mafia“, could have picked another country as their target – but the new „populist“ government coalition of 5-Star and Lega refuses further inroads by force of the „weapon of mass migration“ – certainly a bad behavior that asks for „capital“ punishment. The European Central Bank (ECB) led by Draghi is accepting rising amounts of bad loans as collateral as a general rule – more deregulation is being discussed.

But hardest pressed is the US Dollar, with a steadily rising number of countries refusing further use of this crazily overstretched „currency“. This policy would have started wars in former times, because nobody could imagine, how the Dollar could survive it, Gaddafi was punished because he planned a gold-backed African currency worth the name – but nowadays the move out of the Dollar is global and marks a political watershed. In the background stands a brutal truth: The present global financial crisis is systemic. – and the equally global knowledge of this fact alone is so alarming to the ruling financial cartel, that it has prepared a global military crisis conglomerate scenario including seven regions.

Knocked up and corrupt financial system meets global internet-based knowledge and awareness, that in fact is the problem, which no war can overcome: just another problem not to be solved with military means. Next question: Is this global knowledge harboring the solution, too? And the answer: Only in case the knowledge rules politics in a sufficient number of powerful countries to stop the global doom loop.


Russian Original: