Role of Baltic States in Eurasia – Christoph Hörstel 2022-1-16
At the invitation of the leadership of the Latvian opposition party Ricibas, which is planning a larger internet debate with several participants on the topics and questions raised. My participation does not constitute support or acceptance of any other thoughts and goals – apart from those of the party DIE NEUE MITTE – and of course my own.
I would like to thank the organizers and staff for this friendly opportunity to comment on the complex of Baltic States in geopolitical and economic relations of the greater Eurasian region.
You will find that I speak a very open language – and do not shy away from unpleasant facts.
I therefore ask people who see certain things completely differently to be patient for a few minutes.
But I ask the others who think like me for their cooperation and support, because we are heading towards a great war in Europe, which we Europeans can only lose all of us together. And that seems to be the plan…
I did not risk my life in Afghanistan in the last century and in this century to stand by and do nothing.
We and I want a tremendous and honest change for the benefit of all people, which really deserves the name – and I want it to start IMMEDIATELY. That will come up on the third issue of EU-Russia relations. I will then comment on this at the very end with very precise information.
- Historical context: constructive experiences in trade and economic relations with neighboring countries.
68% of Estonia’s exports go to EU countries (Finland 16%, Sweden 11% and Latvia 10%); Among the non-EU countries, the USA and Russia are the most important trading partners, each with 6% of exports.
77% of imports come from EU Member States (Finland 13%, Germany 10% and Lithuania 9%). From outside the EU, 9% of imports come from Russia and 4% from China.
67% of Latvia’s exports go to EU countries (Lithuania 15%, Estonia 11%, Germany and Sweden 7% each); among non-EU countries, the most important trading partners are Russia (14% of exports) and the USA (4%).
75% of imports come from EU Member States (Lithuania 17%, Germany 11% and Poland 9%). From outside the EU, 8% of imports come from Russia and 4% from Canada.
59% of Lithuania’s exports go to EU countries (Latvia 10%, Poland 8%, Germany 7%); among non-EU countries, the most important trading partners are Russia (14% of exports) and the USA (5%).
69% of imports come from EU Member States (Germany 12%, Poland 11% and Latvia 7%). From outside the EU, 15% of imports come from Russia and 3% from China.
- Baltic States as a possible transport and logistic hub between Europe and Asia: Opportunities for logistic infrastructure development and trade.
In order to become a hub, certain requirements have to be met that are not met today. Key question: strengths and weaknesses analysis:
What can/must the Baltic States offer future partners in order to be more attractive than the competition?
– This includes major investments in education and business.
All students must study at least two major foreign languages, one from East and one from West
three would be better
– The entire state organization must become more efficient and modern in all areas, and corruption must be strongly combated: the greatest obstacle in all developments is always the lack of legal certainty.
– After a strength-weakness analysis coordinated in the Baltic States and according to the leading EU powers, coordinated core competence fields in economy and trade are to be worked out, complete with the development of a strongly internationally oriented trade fair system.
This is a science that requires tremendous diligence, organizational talent, consistency and assertiveness.
Consistency and assertiveness required.
– Cooperation between real estate management, trade fair construction, foreign and trade policy, transport infrastructure, etc. must be established in task forces.
– A merger/federation of the Baltic States to deal with these tasks should be considered. Diversity, being deeply rooted in one’s own history and culture can become a strength!
– Germany is a world-renowned trade fair location, and strategic cooperation should start here at an early stage.
In 2002 I was able to gain good experience in Afghanistan with such strategic arrangements in a very difficult political environment: On behalf of the governor’s family, I undertook the overall strategic arrangement of the province of Nangarhar, so that within days I could obtain 18 million US$ special funding from the donors in Kabul – and Governor Haji Din Mohammad became governor of Kabul shortly thereafter – and remained so for a decade.
This avoided vendettas, because the governor’s brother, Haji Qadeer, powerful vice president of Afghanistan under Karzai – and presumably on behalf of the CIA, but at least with the approval of the CIA, was murdered because he was too powerful and too headstrong.
Blood revenge would have cost Karzai his life – and severely hampered the entire Western mission in Afghanistan right from the start.
- „Buffer zone“ issues: Is good neighborliness possible for the EU and Russia?
Yes, under conditions – and the Baltics are well placed to play a good and constructive role in this if the conditions are met.
- The EU must learn to defend itself against aggressive expansionist desires by Western influence in Russia’s vicinity.
- That won’t be easy, because the new federal government is so weak that it doesn’t seem capable of doing this, and the majority of its members are in such a bad position that they don’t seem capable either in character, intellectually or professionally.
- The German population would like to blow the whistle on the federal and state governments, but sees no chance of doing so. – This is where our work comes into play. We could, more on that in the concluding remarks.
- If the EU doesn’t manage to thwart Washington again, as it did in Afghanistan and Iraq – and Washington continues to display ignorance, arrogance and supposed, but in fact Combining non-existent strength into a triad of hell, there will be a terrible lesson that could blow the light out of Europe for a long time – and the US as well.
Doubts could arise here – but I was right about Afghanistan and Iran/Iraq right from the start – EVERYONE who wants to get started and contradict me should sit down very calmly, you were ALL on the wrong side. I’m happy to follow up on that. Most of you don’t even know that the CIA helped start Iran’s nuclear program, massively so. With criminal, underhand intent. „Deception“ by Guardian contributors Scott-Clark and Levy.
- So think positively: We create relaxation in Europe and improve our relations with Russia a little.
Then the special characteristics of the Baltic States, which are still often perceived as a problem and legacy, could suddenly have a positive effect and contribute to internal and external harmonization. Admittedly, one or the other cherished anti-Russian habit would have to be paused for a while, which pro-American activists might not particularly like.
But it does take a bit of effort if we want to avoid World War III. Otherwise there might not be anyone afterwards for the sad Sunday speeches that one is now reasonable and wants to take good care of the peace…
- The special strengths of the Baltic States – let’s remember the first two questions and my answers to them:
– West-East balance of economic ties, trade
– old and new traditions, partly in need of revival
– Ethnic ties – partly in need of repair
- An idea for the future: When Germany had the best foreign politician in Europe, Prince Bismarck in the second half of the 19th century, he concluded the notorious reinsurance treaty with Russia in 1887, which I will set up again when we have the chance to get.
Not just a side note: Contract lawyers and diplomatic experts worldwide agree that such contracts may be concluded alongside all other contracts – i.e. also alongside the EU and NATO.
So just think about it: Peace in Europe and in the world and long-term well-being of your country are certainly worth these thoughts. Aren’t they?
Thank you very much for the opportunity to speak to you here. To the comprehensive and honest change that has been announced, please let me add this.
It is about a new era of friendship with Russia that the US has been trying to prevent for more than 100 years, as the founder, owner and head of the private intelligence agency Stratfor, Hungarian-born George Friedman, explained in his 2015 speech in Chicago.
And of course we absolutely want to remain friends with the American people, as well as with the peoples of all other NATO friends and partners.
And it is, however, about freedom from global heteronomy, about the slow, gradual, careful and collective liberation from a completely over-the-top financial and monetary system that threatens to engulf us all – and would like to involve us in a war that we prevent for the benefit of our children HAVE TO, we don’t have a choice.
For this I am looking for a small group of investors in the range from 2 million euros to push this change financially together with us within a few months.
My contact details, please only for serious applicants, are known to the organizers.